Political violence in the United States declined for nearly two decades after the 1990s and then rose sharply beginning around 2016. For decades prior to that year, politically motivated violence was concentrated overwhelmingly on the far right. Today, violence associated with the right and left is closer to balance, even as it takes very different forms. Right-wing violence has been substantially more frequent and far deadlier than left-wing violence since 2016—aimed at elections, federal institutions, and public officials—while left-wing violence has been more common in mass protest settings, from the 2020 George Floyd unrest to clashes over immigration enforcement, typically involving property destruction and confrontations with police.
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If you look at the numbers, says Pape, we have 100 million Americans who support political violence, just as we are about to have the midterms. He says that they could be “the most dangerous elections in our lifetime,” not because of what may or may not happen on Election Day, but the way both sides process the outcome.
Rod Dreher, discussing and quoting Robert Pape, University of Chicago political scientist and expert on political violence and terrorism.
Damned if you do …
I don’t need to read one more text message or police report about what happened in the Chi Phi house at Cornell University two years ago. I don’t need any of that because I know this: A member sent out a text to all of the brothers advertising “free” sex in one of the rooms, and there wasn’t a single member of that outfit who was man enough to shut it down. There couldn’t really be a simpler test of manhood: If you got that text, would you go to the house to get your bit of free sex, or would you go to get her out of there?
I do, however, wonder how the campus newspaper, TheCornell Daily Sun, would receive the news of a man busting into that room during the early, consensual part of the event. “Slut-Shaming Chi Phi Tells Sophomore: Enough!” Or, worse, “Chi Phi ‘Rescues’ Sophomore Woman—From Herself.” But the headlines this week have been starkly different, and the eyes of the world are on Ithaca, New York.
If I have any sense in my head, I’ll leave exploration of the Cornell rape situation in the voices of others. It’s a highwire act and my balance is lousy.
Only the vices vary
There was a time when I felt defensive on behalf of Republicans when liberals accused them of furtive (and not so furtive) racial resentment toward America’s first black president.
My days of giving the right the benefit of the doubt about its good intentions are over. Watching a supposedly principled small-government movement like the Tea Party transform overnight into an authoritarian personality cult intoxicated with populist cultural revanchism will do that to a fellow.
David M. Drucker, The Accidental President (hyperlink unavailable because – well, just search “The Accidental President” and you’ll see why I couldn’t identify the source when this resurfaced)
I had repudiated my notional connection to the GOP (Indiana doesn’t register voters by party) a few years before Barack Obama was elected. I didn’t vote for him (loved his speaking, hated his voting record), but I thought his election was a harbinger of racial reconciliation in America. Far from feeling defensive toward the GOP’s reaction, I was red-pilled about the continuing salience of America’s original sin.
But the GOP as “authoritarian personality cult” strikes me as “off” — as discontinuous with the GOP I left over policy, not personality. The GOP of 2016-to-date just isn’t the same GOP I repudiated. Circumstances have shuffled in a lot of MAGA riff-raff, shuffled out many country clubbers.
On the other side of the shuffle, the Democrats aren’t much like the pre-2016 Democrats. Who can take that party seriously as the party of the proverbial working man? It’s neither constituted of working men nor are working men much impressed with its progressive social views.
Inasmuch as the GOP umbrella is now big enough for racism and xenophobia, “The Party of Vote Your Vice” now fits both major parties. Only the vices vary.
Bingo (from an icon of the sober-minded wing of Evangelicalism)
I think it is a drastic mistake to think that the deadly influences of a leader come only through his policies and not also through his person.
Flagrant boastfulness, vulgarity, and factiousness are not only self-incriminating; they are nation-corrupting.
This is true not only because flagrant boastfulness, vulgarity, immorality, and factiousness are self-incriminating, but also because they are nation-corrupting. They move out from centers of influence to infect whole cultures. The last five years bear vivid witness to this infection at almost every level of society.
Like Piper, I would oppose Trump, even if I could discern and approve his “policies,” because of his utterly toxic person.
Let’s try those magic words again
Conservatives should attack Barbara [the SCOTUS decision affirming what the constitution says about birthright citizenship] with “the model that dismantled Roe,” the conservative strategist Rachel Bovard wrote in First Things, a right-leaning religious publication. “Trump v. Barbara must act as a litmus test for every future conservative nominee.”
First, Barbara is so fundamentally different than Roe that I don’t think the same model will work for undermining it. Barbara affirmed what the constitution says; Roe just kind of made stuff up (emanations, penumbrae) without constitutional grounding. Roe fell because its foundations were flimsy; Barbara should stand because its foundation is sound.
Second, if MAGA (it’s not real conservatives, said the scribe who’s aware of the No True Scotsman fallacy) is going to attack birthright citizenship by trying court-stacking, the real conservatives must join liberals in interrogating the heck out of MAGA nominees. (I also predict that MAGA will have trouble finding many qualified nominees who agree with them on birthright citizenship.)
First Things has always been slightly “right-leaning” on cultural issues, but it took R.R. Reno a dishearteningly brief time to make it strongly MAGA-leaning after 2016. I’ve dropped it after being, I believe, a charter subscriber.
I am not oblivious to many problems of liberal democracy, but I’m unconvinced that any of the postliberal alternatives would be any improvement.
Live not by lies
The problem is that all too many Christians are in the grips of two sets of lies. We’ll call them the enabling lies and the activating lies. And unless you deal with the enabling lies, the activating lies will constantly pollute the body politic and continue to spawn violent unrest.
What’s the difference between the two kinds of lies? The enabling lie is the lie that makes you fertile ground for the activating lie that actually motivates a person to charge a thin blue line at the Capitol or take a rifle to a pizza parlor. Here’s an enabling lie: America will end if Trump loses. That was the essence of the Flight 93 essay in 2016. That was the core of Eric Metaxas’s argument in our debates this spring and fall.
Here’s another enabling lie: The fate of the church is at stake if Joe Biden wins. And here’s yet another: The left hates you (this sentence sometimes concludes with the phrase “and wants you dead.”)
Joe Gebbia, Chief Design Officer of America, co-founder of Airbnb, has given this country its first proper website. No, not X, and not Brazzers, you freaks. It’s America.gov. And it’s a search bar powered by AI, so you ask it things and it pulls from about 29,000 government websites. It also has helpful suggestions like, “Which military service is best for me?”
I tried to come up with Magic 8 Ball questions I had for America (Where is my closest polling place? R u racist? Will Bryan Johnson live forever? Do you want me here or should I leave?), but my mind went blank. I don’t have any questions for America, more like musings and the occasional yell. Still, it’s very nice-looking. The more we see the government as a consumer product, the more we will demand it work and be cheaper and tax us less. This website says “How can I help you, citizen,” and I like that. The more it looks like Uber Eats, the angrier we will be at what’s missing and damaged or wrong, and how long it took to get here. A country in 2026 is mostly a delivery service. It’s a thing we give money to in exchange for services, like roads or fire engines, and now search engines. Good for Joe Gebbia. And Hello, America!
Of course, in the year of our Lord 2026, much of what the government says is false if not insane, but I’ll admit it’s a decent-looking looking-glass to go through.
Rejuvenation
I fell in love again to convince myself I was young. She became the mirror of my dotage ….
(R.S. Thomas, Repeat, in Collected Later Poems 1988-2000)
Shorts
Obviously most Muslims are not terrorists. But at some point “most Muslims are peaceful” cannot be the end of the conversation either. (@chelsssseeeea)
Few travelled in these days, for, thanks to the advance of science, the earth was exactly alike all over. (E.M. Forster, The Machine Stops)
Your enemies are not demonic, and they are not all-powerful and the right hasn’t always lost and the left hasn’t always won. But if you convince yourself of that, you give yourselves all sorts of permission to do a lot of stupid and terrible things under the rubric of “Do you know what time it is?”
I don’t do any of the major social media, but I have two sub-domains of the domain you’re currently reading: (a) You can read most of my reflexive stuff, especially political here. (b) I also post some things on my favorite no-algorithm social medium.
William Jon Gray, undoubtedly the best Choral Conductor I ever sang under, has died at his home in New York state at age 66. I have the impression (from someone saying “You sung under him?!”) that he was widely known in American choral music circles.
That’s all I know about his death at this point, the news having just come to me Thursday through the (reliable) grapevine.
Bill was Artistic Director of the Bach Chorale Singers from 1994 to 2010. I re-joined the Chorale, after a very brief prior experience in the 1980s, in 1997. In addition to his formal education, Bill learned from the Master, Robert Shaw, having sung with him for some period of time. He forever followed what I understand was “Mr. Shaw’s” practice of meticulously marking scores before distributing them to his singers and, heaven help us, count-singing. His other accomplishments can be seen at the first link, above.
The pinnacles of my experience with Bill were, in no particular order:
performance of Rachmaninoff’s Vespers,
a professional recording of the Latin Organ and Choral Music of Zoltan Kodaly, with Organist Marilyn Keiser, on the Pro Organo label. One track unfailingly brings tears to my eyes, and
in retrospect, sitting a couple of feet from our Guest Tenor Soloist, Lawrence Brownlee, days after he had won the Metropolitan Opera Auditions. (Bill said “Enjoy him. We’ll never be able to afford him again.”)
Signs of the Times
A handful of former Democratic and Republican officials announced Wednesday they are forming a new national political party—Forward—that they believe will appeal to voters frustrated with the United States’ current two-party system. The centrist party will be chaired by former Democratic presidential candidate Andrew Yang and former Republican New Jersey Gov. Christine Todd Whitman, and plans to gain ballot access in all 50 states in time for the 2024 presidential and congressional elections.
A new FBI search warrant claims the man who allegedly attempted to assassinate Justice Brett Kavanaugh last month was also planning to kill two other Supreme Court justices. The FBI alleges the man searched “assassin skills,” “most effective place to stab someone,” and “quietest semi auto rifle” online before he was arrested, and that he messaged unnamed users on Discord that he was going to “stop Roe v. Wade from being overturned” and that he would “remove some people from the Supreme Court.”
I conducted dozens of focus groups of Trump 2020 voters in the 17 months between the storming of the Capitol on January 6 and when the hearings began in June. One measure was consistent: At least half of the respondents in each group wanted Trump to run again in 2024. The prevailing belief was that the 2020 election was stolen—or at least unfair in some way—and Trump should get another shot.
But since June, I’ve observed a shift. I’ve conducted nine focus groups during this period, and found that only 14 percent of Trump 2020 voters wanted him to run in 2024, with a few others on the fence. In four of the groups, zero people wanted Trump to run again. Their reasoning is clear: They’re now uncertain that Trump can win again.
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[U]nlike the impeachment hearings, which in some ways made GOP voters more defensive of Trump, the accumulating drama of the January 6 hearings—which they can’t avoid in social-media feeds—seems to be facilitating not a wholesale collapse of support, but a soft permission to move on.
In [Peter Thiel’s] view, much of what passes for “progress” is in truth more like “distraction”. As he puts it, “the iPhone that distracts us from our environment also distracts us from the ways our environment is unchanging and static.” And in this culture, economy and politics of chronic self-deception, as Thiel sees it, we tell ourselves that we’re advancing because “grandma gets an iPhone with a smooth surface,” but meanwhile she “gets to eat cat food because food prices have gone up.”
One of many provocative observations in this long piece.
And yes, I’ve read accusations that he’s a fascist. I’m just saying he’s smart, not that he’s good.
Nothing pointless
Speaking of fascists …
Himmler quite aptly defined the SS member as the new type of man who under no circumstances will ever do “a thing for its own sake.”
Hannah Arendt, The Origins of Totalitarianism
Church/State
Lifeway research suggests that as many as 2/3 of American churches incorporate patriotic music into their liturgy for public worship during the time around the 4th of July holiday.
So this is one piece of the problem: For many of our nation’s white evangelicals, their patriotic commitments as Americans are so intertwined with their Christian faith that it is very hard for them to imagine a scenario where Christian fidelity actually requires them to reject standard American ideas about identity, wealth, success, and so on.
Martin Luther King Jr.’s most famous speech would not meet Kendi’s definition of anti-racism, nor would the one Barack Obama made about there being too many fatherless Black families. Indeed, nearly everything that Americans have been taught about how to be anti-racist for the past several decades is, according to Kendi’s explicit definition, racist.
This just in: With Russia at war in Ukraine, and Putin’s stench in American nostrils increasing, our 45th POTUS has declared himself an acolyte of Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr now. al-Sadr’s followers are very special people.
(Pass it on.)
Note to Readers
I will be traveling for more than a week. I may or may not get a post scheduled for tomorrow or intermittently during travel, but I should be back sometime the week of August 7.
And I just realized that today is the 57th anniversary of my most serious accident, on a motorcycle at age 16.
“The Frenchman works until he can play. The American works until he can’t play; and then thanks the devil, his master, that he is donkey enough to die in harness ….” (G.K. Chesterton)
You can read most of my more impromptu stuff here (cathartic venting) and here (the only social medium I frequent, because people there are quirky, pleasant and real). Both should work in your RSS aggregator, like Feedly or Reeder, should you want to make a habit of it.
